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How the web works
This section is about what happens when somebody connects to your web site, and
what statistics you can and can't calculate. There is a lot of confusion
about this. It's not helped by statistics programs which claim to calculate
things which cannot really be calculated, only estimated. The simple fact is
that certain data which we would like to know and which we expect to know are
simple not available. And the estimates used by other programs are not just a
bit off, but can be very, very wrong. For example (you'll see why below),
if your home page has 10 graphics on, and an AOL user visits it, most
programs will count that as 11 different visitors!
This section is fairly long, but it's worth reading carefully. If you
understand the basics of how the web works, you will understand what your web
statistics are really telling you.
I should say that this section has benefited from several earlier expositions
of these ideas. In particular, I can recommend four excellent articles:
WWW Statistics by Doug Linder;
Making Sense of Web
Usage Statistics by Dana Noonan;
Getting Real about Usage
Statistics by Tim Stehle;
and, the most negative of all,
Why Web Usage Statistics are
(Worse Than) Meaningless by Jeff Goldberg.
1. The basic model. Let's suppose I visit your web site. I follow a
link from somewhere else to your front page, read some pages, and then follow
one of your links out of your site.
So, what do you know about it? First, I make one request for your front
page. You know the date and time of the request and which page I asked for
(of course), and the internet address of my computer (my host). I also
usually tell you which page referred me to your site, and the make and model
of my browser. I do not tell you my username or my e-mail address.
Next, I look at the page (or rather my browser does) to see if it's got any
graphics on it. If so, and if I've got image loading turned on in my browser,
I make a separate connection to retrieve each of these graphics. I never log
into your site: I just make a sequence of requests, one for each new file I
want to download. The referring page for each of these graphics is your front
page. Maybe there are 10 graphics on your front page. Then so far I've made 11
requests to your server.
After that, I go and visit some of your other pages, making a new request for
each page and graphic that I want. Finally, I follow a link out of your site.
You never know about that at all. I just connect to the next site without
2. Caches. It's not always quite as simple as that. One major problem
is cacheing. There are two major types of cacheing. First, my browser
automatically caches files when I download them. This means that if I visit
them again, the next day say, I don't need to download the whole page
again. Depending on the settings on my browser, I might check with you that
the page hasn't changed: in that case, you do know about it, and analog will
count it as a new request for the page. But I might set my browser not to
check with you: then I will read the page again without you ever knowing about
The other sort of cache is on a larger scale. I'm in the UK. Because the link
across the Atlantic is sometimes very congested, we've set up a national
cache. (Many individual ISP's also do the same thing.) I can set my browser to
get your pages from the national cache instead of directly from you. If anyone
else in the country has used the cache to look at your pages recently, the
cache will have saved them, and will give them out to me without ever telling
you about it. So hundreds of people could read your pages, even though you'd
only sent it out once. Also, if the page I wanted wasn't already stored in the
cache, the cache would ask for it from you on my behalf. This would mean that
the request appeared to come from the cache, rather than from me. If several
people did this, you would think that only one host was accessing the cache,
rather than lots of different ones.
3. What you can know. The only things you can know for certain are the
number of requests made to your server, when they were made, which files were
asked for, and which host asked you for them.
You can also know what people told you their browsers were, and what the
referring pages were. You should be aware, though, that many browsers lie
deliberately about what sort of browser they are, or even let users configure
the browser name. Also, a few browsers send incorrect referrers, telling you
the last page that the user was on even if they weren't referred by that page.
4. What you can't know.
The bottom line is that HTTP is a stateless protocol. That means that people
don't log in and retrieve several documents: they make a separate connection
for each file they want. And a lot of the time they don't even behave as
if they were logged into one site. That's why analog reports requests,
i.e. what is going on at your server, which you know, rather than guessing
what the users are doing.
- You can't tell the identity of your readers.
Unless you explicitly require users to provide a password, you don't
know who connected or what their e-mail addresses are.
- You can't tell how many visitors you've had.
You can guess by looking at the number of distinct hosts that have
requested things from you. But this is not always a good estimate for
three reasons. First, if users get your pages from a local cache server,
you will never know about it. Secondly, sometimes many users appear to
connect from the same host: either users from the same company or ISP,
or users using the same cache server. Finally, sometimes one user
appears to connect from many different hosts. AOL now allocates users a
for every request. So if your home page has
10 graphics on, and an AOL user visits it, most programs will count that
as 11 different visitors!
- You can't tell how many visits you've had.
Many programs, under pressure from advertisers' organisations, define a
"visit" (or "session") as a sequence of requests
from the same host until there is a half-hour gap. This is an unsound
method for several reasons. First, it assumes that each host corresponds
to a separate person and vice versa. This is simply not true in the real
world, as discussed in the last paragraph. Secondly, it assumes that
there is never a half-hour gap in a genuine visit. This is also untrue.
I quite often follow a link out of a site, then step back in my browser
and continue with the first site from where I left off. Should it really
matter whether I do this 29 or 31 minutes later? Finally, to make the
computation tractable, such programs also need to assume that your
logfile is in chronological order: it isn't always, and analog will
produce the same results however you jumble the lines up.
- Cookies don't solve these problems.
Some sites try to count their visitors by using cookies. But this can
only work if you refuse to let people read your pages who can't or won't
take a cookie. And you still have to assume that your visitors will use
the same cookie for their next request.
- You can't follow a person's path through your site.
Even if you assume that each person corresponds one-to-one to a host,
you don't know their path through your site. It's very common for people
to go back to pages they've downloaded before. You never know about
these subsequent visits to that page, because their browser has cached
them. So you can't track their path through your site accurately.
- You often can't tell where they entered your site, or where they
found out about you from.
If they are using a cache server, they will often be able to retrieve
your home page from their cache, but not all of the subsequent pages
they want to read. Then the first page you know about them requesting
will be one in the middle of their true visit.
- You can't tell how they left your site, or where they went next.
They never tell you about their connection to another site, so there's no
way for you to know about it.
- You can't tell how long people spent reading each page.
Once again, you can't tell
which pages they are reading between successive requests for pages. They
might be reading some pages they downloaded earlier. They might have
followed a link out of your site, and they might or might not return
later. They might have interrupted their reading for a quick game of
Minesweeper. You just don't know.
I've presented a somewhat negative view here, emphasising what you
can't find out. Web statistics are still informative: it's just important not
to slip from "this page has received 30,000 requests" to
"30,000 people have read this page."
In some sense these problems are not really new to the web -- they are present
just as much in print media too. For example, you only know how many magazines
you've sold, not how many people have read them. In print media we have learnt
to live with these issues, using the data which are available, and it would
be better if we did on the web too, rather than making up spurious numbers.
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